Opposition Pollster Predicts Chávez Crushing Victory in National Assembly Elections

According to the latest survey carried out by opposition pollster Datanalisis concerning the upcoming National Assembly elections in Venezuela, President’s Chavez’s United Socialist Party (PSUV) and its allied Venezuelan Communist Party (PCV) are set to rout the right wing opposition camp for the thirteenth time in fourteen elections since December 1998.

By Arturo Rosales – Axis of Logic
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According to the latest survey carried out by opposition pollster Datanalisis, reported in Ultimas Noticias and TeleSur concerning the September 26th National Assembly elections in Venezuela, President’s Chavez’s United Socialist Party (PSUV) and its allied Venezuelan Communist Party (PCV) are set to rout the right wing opposition camp for the thirteenth time in fourteen elections since December 1998.

The Datanalisis national survey indicates that chavismo will win 124 (75.15%) seats out of the 165 up for grabs, whereas the opposition will win 41 (24.85%). This will give the parties of the Bolivarian Revolution more than the 110 seats required for a 66.7% qualified majority in the National Assembly which will allow organic legislation to be passed into law without having to make any deals with other parties.

The PSUV and PCV will sweep the board in states such as Portuguesa (6 – 0), Sucre (6 – 0), Trujillo (5 – 0) and Amazonas (4 – 0) according to the poll. In other states where President Chavez and his socialist policies enjoy wide support the opposition will be limited to just one seat in the following states: Apure, Aragua, Barinas, Bolívar, Guárico, Falcón, Vargas and Yaracuy. The opposition’s best results will be in Táchira (5-2), Zulia (8-7) and Miranda (6-6). This information was published today, August 15th 2010, in the Venezuelan national daily, Ultimas Noticias.

Other pollsters such as GISXXI, widely regarded as allied to the Chavez government, has been predicting similar results for over a year and now Datanalisis and its Director, Luis Vicente León, have decided to come clean and publish polls adverse to the opposition but true to the general socialist tendency in the country as a whole.

Some opposition pollsters had Chavez’s approval rating as low as 38% at the beginning of this year whereas GISXXI and IVAD always maintained it was between 55% - 60%.

We will have to wait and see how the bourgeois media spins this. It’s a good bet they will claim that Chavez paid Mr. León a million dollars as he allegedly did to ex-U.S. President Jimmy Carter when the latter said that the Presidential Referendum was clean and fair in 2004. At that time, Chavez whipped the opposition for an eighth time!

These predicted results contrast sharply with the outright propaganda being spread by opposition internet sites which continue to repeat that Chávez is: a dictator, undemocratic, supports the FARC and “terrorist states” such as Iran, that there are food shortages and food is rotting everywhere in the country, that there is no electricity or water, that homicides are climbing every second, the country is being militarized, and so on into a mind boggling nausea of mendacity.

All of it insults the Venezuelan people who would easily vote Chavez and his party out if any of it were true. Such preposterous assertions are common throughout the opposition private media here in Venezuela and corporate media in the U.S. and Europe like NYT, WP, LAT, BBC, AFP, London Times, the big TV networks and the rest who exist for the sole purpose of defending capitalism.  Currently, in an extraordinary special series, CNN (en español) is running a media attack against Venezuela to augment the daily gabble in the capitalist media.  This series is running in Venezuela and abroad for Spanish language viewers in Spain, the rest of Europe and the U.S. This special CNN series comes as no surprise as we in Venezuela are geared for the run up to next month’s all-important national elections. People abroad may be fooled by this corporate media gabble but make no mistake: the people of Venezuela are numbered among the most politically-aware in the world and they know the lies for what they are.

What is the lesson this poll and coming election offers to political leaders everywhere? If you really attack poverty, illiteracy, democratize education, housing, health care, restore ownership of the natural resources back to their rightful owner – the people, and send power away from yourself, down to community counsels as Chavez has done – you will always have their vote in honest elections. Of course, we the people of Venezuela clearly understand that many “leaders” cannot make these decisions because the decisions have already been made for them by the puppeteers who put them in office. Barack Obama is the consummate example of this as the “Commander in Chief” of the greatest military power in the world. We have no illusions about Obama. He is simply one of them, albeit with skin of a different color. He is simply expressing the will of the corporations, banks, the Israeli government and ultimately, the Global Corporate Empire.

We are now waiting for the Venezuelan opposition to explain how Datanalisis, their own pollsters are predicting another Chavista landslide when only three months ago, they were reporting they would win over 80 seats in the National Assembly and defeat Chavez’s socialism and dismantle the Revolution.

Arturo Rosales is a Venezuelan journalist who has worked in several Latin American countries. He is currently a staff writer for Axis of Logic based in Caracas. Click here to read more of his articles.