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Analysis: Politics

One Month since 14 April, Nicolas has Advanced

Venezuelan president Nicolas Maduro (prensa presidencial)

Venezuelan political commentator Nicmer Evans analyses the first month of Nicolas Maduro’s presidency, arguing that despite the opposition challenge to his legitimacy Maduro is setting the country’s political agenda.

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We’ve Definitely Arrived at the Inevitable

One prominent Venezuelan intellectual and activist’s perspective on the current political situation and tasks ahead, Denis argues that there is a larger opening now for the opposition to take power, and that the grassroots are talking of regrouping, and are at a “critical crossroads”.

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Venezuela's Election System Holds Up As A Model For The World

A capture photo from the CNE"s live broadcast of the auditing of the 46% of votes that weren't audited straight after

A surprising article in Forbes magazine recognises, and praises Venezuela's electoral system.

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Venezuela: Reaffirmation, Warning and Encouragement for the Revolution

Thousands of Chavistas rallied when Nicolas Maduro visited Merida on April 3 (Ryan Mallett-Outtrim/Venezuelanalysis)

With 50.75% of the votes, Nicolás Maduro was elected president of Venezuela. In 14 years, it is the sixth presidential election victory by the revolutionary process.

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Honor Venezuela's Election; Maduro Won Fair and Square

Maduro swearing-in as president (AFP)

I just returned from Venezuela where I was one of 170 international election observers from around the world, including India, Brazil, Great Britain, Argentina, South Korea and France. 

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Canadian Organizations Condemn Post-Election Violence in Venezuela

We condemn the opposition-initiated violence against innocent supporters of President Nicolas Maduro as an attempt to destabilize Venezuela. In line with UNASUR, we call on the opposition to respect the will of the people and to recognize the results of the CNE.

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Venezuela: Ups and Downs of an Election Observer

(Credit: Julia Buxton)

Julia Buxton has been an observer at elections in Venezuela for nearly twenty years. In April 2013 this was the  first election without Hugo Chávez since 1999. This is her report.

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Venezuelan Audit Can’t Find Any Different Result in Presidential Election, Statistical Analysis Shows

The Venezuelan electoral system has been described by former US president Jimmy Carter as one of the "best in the world&quo

A statistical analysis by the Center for Economic and Policy Research(CEPR) has shown that if Venezuelan opposition claims that Nicolás Maduro's victory was obtained by fraud were true, it is practically impossible to have obtained the result that was found in an audit of 53% of electronic voting machines that took place on the evening of Venezuela’s April 14 elections.  The odds of this occurring would be far less than one in 25 thousand trillion.

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Venezuela Faces a Soft War

"The social property law will take away what's yours - No to the Cuban law" said this 2009 publicity, which uses

Framed in a historical and political context, Segarra describes a soft war, a psychological and multifaceted war, waged by foreign interests and local elites against Venezuelans following death of Hugo Chavez.

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Nicolas Maduro did not Steal the Venezuelan Elections

The author with Nicolas Maduro before he became the President of Venezuela.

The guy in the cheap brown windbreaker walking up the dirty tenement steps to my New York office looked like a bus driver. Nicolas Maduro, elected President of Venezuela last Sunday, did indeed drive a bus, then led the drivers’ union, then drove Chávez’s laws through the National Assembly.

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A Contender for Dumbest Statement Ever by Amnesty USA?

(AFP/Andreas Solaro)

Amnesty USA called on the Venezuelan government to eliminate post-election violence. The small matter that the violence has been directed at government supporters was comically evaded.

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Keys to Understanding What’s Going On

“Don’t worry, Nicolás, don’t worry, Venezuela — we already know where the coups come from.” (Uncas/Ciudad CCS)

The reality, already difficult in itself to decipher, is becoming all the more so through the work of the media who, far from being a means of communication, have transformed themselves into veritable cannons in this war that our country is now suffering.

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The Challenge of the Bolivarian Revolution: To Start Again

Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro at his swearing in on Friday (Prensa Presidencial)

A couple of friends agreed that the close result of 14 April was equivalent to starting again. “It’s as if we were just beginning” and “it’s like going back to 2002” each one commented to me in different moments. I think that this assessment, correct in my opinion, encloses one of the keys to treading firmly in such a shifting political moment. 

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US Playing Politics Over Venezuelan Elections

US secretary of state John Kerry (Carolyn Kaster/AP)

Nicolas Maduro's victory in the Venezuelan presidential election was narrower than anticipated. Nonetheless, it was clear enough. Yet the US government now seems to be playing politics with the outcome, emboldening Venezuela's opposition coalition by refusing to accept the results and trying to discredit Maduro's mandate.

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Claims of Fraud in Venezuela: The Fake Evidence of Henrique Capriles

Henrique Capriles holds up a vote tally at a press conference last Monday (Getty Images)

Opposition candidate Henrique Capriles has refused to acknowledge the results of the election, claiming the government committed fraud. In what follows, I will list all of the alleged evidence of fraud cited by Capriles, and explain why every single example is either demonstrably false, or extremely implausible.

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